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Repo Homes Lists Will Soar as Lapsed Mortgages Increase

August 26, 2009

Repo homes lists will soar and will contain around 1.15 million residential properties in the middle of 2010 because of the inability of homeowners to catch up on their monthly payments, according to Baclays Capital.

This prediction is also supported by a study held by credit rating firm Fitch Ratings Ltd. on the cure rate for delinquent mortgages. Cure rate refers to the percentage of delinquent home loans restored to regular and updated status each month.

Fitch reported that the percentage of delinquent homeowners who have failed to restore their mortgages to current status has increased in July. The cure rate for prime mortgages had sharply dropped from the average of 45 percent cure rate during the seven-period 2000 to 2006 to only 6.6 percent in July.

For Alt-A loans, the cure rate has also sharply dropped from 30.2 percent to 4.3 percent. For subprime home loans, the cure rate fell from 19.4 percent to 5.3 percent.

Fitch managing director Roelof Slump said that the cure rates had record declines.

Barclays Capital said that foreclosures will continue to rise in many areas across the country as homeowners fail to catch up on their loan payments. The firm’s 1.15 million projection for the middle of 2010 is a substantial increase from the 688,000 foreclosures posted in July.

Analysts said that the cure rates declined despite efforts by President Barack Obama, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan and lawmakers to pressure lenders to intensify their loan modification efforts. Their efforts were even stepped up by mandatory mediation and other foreclosure prevention programs launched by state governments.

According to Fitch analysts, the cure rates could have been much lower if there were no federal and state intervention.

In recent months, the major cause for delinquencies and foreclosures was no longer risky unaffordable loans but unemployment.

Nationwide, the unemployment rate in July was little changed at 9.4 percent compared to June, according to the Labor Department. But it represented an increase of 3.6 percentage points from July last year. The jobless rate increased in 26 states, compared to June, and decreased in 17 states and Washington, D.C. Seven states reported no rate change.

Lastly, the Fitch study included around $1.7 trillion of home loans packaged into securities, representing about 16 percent of all outstanding mortgages in the U.S. It did not include loans guaranteed by federal agencies and loans not bundled into securities.

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Wall Street Repackaging Mortgages at Risk of Foreclosures

August 25, 2009

Investment banking corporations have been repackaging securities backed by both good mortgages and mortgages at risk of foreclosures to reduce bad debt levels that have been blocking the recovery of the mortgage market.

Some analysts are commenting that the banks are again doing the very things that contributed to the collapse of the housing and mortgage markets.

But Herbert Kaufman, economics professor at the Arizona State University, said that the strategy could help eliminate huge amounts of mortgages in banking portfolios that are preventing them from making new loans to homebuyers and businesses.

Kaufman admitted that the packaging of commercial and residential loans into securities during the housing boom prompted the provision of residential loans to ineligible borrowers and the provision of commercial loans to purchase overpriced buildings.

But now the repackaging is done in ways different from what was done during the boom. Besides investors now know what they are getting into and what happens if their investments fail.

Now mortgages are packaged in combinations of excellent mortgages and not-quite-excellent mortgages so that the bonds could get AAA ratings. The bond deals are also sweetened with the guarantee that safe investors will get paid first before the risk-taking investors.

The riskiest mortgages are packaged in securities that are sold cheaply to investors who are willing to take high levels of risk but a chance of huge returns.

This strategy of packaging mortgages according to their risk levels enables investment banks to lessen their losses and increase their chances of strong returns.

Wall Street executives like Sue Allon of Allonhill and Brian Bowes of Hexagon Securities explained the repackaging as a great solution to the mortgage problem blocking the recovery of the lending market. They are now calling the strategy as resecuritization of real property mortgage investment conduits.

However, there are still high levels of risks involved, according to several financial analysts. One is the uncertainty related to the direction of the housing market. Some say the market has bottomed out; others say more residential and commercial foreclosures are still to come and push down prices further down.

Another is the role of rating agencies, which failed to determine the risk of securities backed by subprime mortgages during the boom. The uncertainty about the real value of the mortgages comprising the mortgage-backed securities is also a huge risk, according to Gabe Poggi of FBR Capital Markets.

Nonetheless, Wall Street financial executives are hopeful that this time they got it right.

Foreclosure for Sale Leads July House Sales in Florida

August 24, 2009

Foreclosure for sale took the lion share in the total home sale deals in Polk County, Florida in July. Last month, 385 existing properties were sold in Polk County, representing a 23 percent increase from the same month last year’s 313 sales deals.

Michigan City Purchase Foreclosed Homes HUD for $1

August 21, 2009

The Lakeshore city of Michigan has bought foreclosed homes HUD from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Under the HUD’s Good Neighbor Program, municipalities are given an opportunity to acquire a foreclosure house for $1 in addition to closing costs.

Scheduled Foreclosed Home Auctions Rose in California

August 20, 2009

The conflicting economic and housing market data coming in at Santa Cruz County, California are causing a debate among industry experts, with some predicting a recovery soon while others are seeing more trouble ahead.

Program to Help Residents Buy Bank Foreclosures for Sale

August 19, 2009

Housing officials in Forsyth County and Winston-Salem, North Carolina have partnered with the Center for Homeownership and financial institutions to help eligible buyers purchase bank foreclosures for sale for less than the properties’ appraised value.

Foreclosure List in Nevada Still Tops the Nation

August 18, 2009

Last month, Nevada posted the highest growth in foreclosure list in the country. The state has been holding the top position in the country’s foreclosure rate ranking for 31 consecutive months.

Foreclosure Properties Going Rampant in Hawaii

August 18, 2009

Several areas in the Big Island of Hawaii are experiencing an increase in the number of foreclosure properties. Kona tops the state in terms of high foreclosure rates in July.

JPMorgan Sells 23 of Its Commercial Real Estate Properties

August 17, 2009

A total of 23 commercial real estate properties owned by J.P. Morgan Chase across the country are being offered for sale to eliminate the weight of holding unused space.

Michigan Program to Buy Tax-Foreclosure, Foreclosed Homes HUD

August 14, 2009

Livonia Mayor Jack Kirksey told members of the city’s council that the program to purchase foreclosure properties and renovate them is designed to preserve home values in the area. He also defended why the city will use the federal funds from the Neighborhood Stabilization Program.

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